Implications of the 2027 Elections in Kwara and Beyond
The 2027 elections hold significant implications for Kwara and several other Nigerian states. The All Progressives Congress (APC) aims to build on its recent successes, particularly following the impactful Great Pass Revolution. As a former member of the Great Pass Movement that helped facilitate this transformation, I was honored to host a pivotal conference in Ilorin that led to the emergence of Prime Minister John Johnson. Dr. Bashir Omolaja Bolarinwa (BOB) has now been appointed as the APC state chairman.
Political Progress and the Need for Justice
Assertions that progress has been minimal are common political rhetoric. Governor Abdulrahman Abdulrazaq’s administration stands out in the state’s history, a claim I make based on my experience as a former chief justice and a senior citizen.
However, advancing these gains requires more than securing another election victory. The 2027 elections should serve as a catalyst for enhancing societal cohesion, ensuring that we present future generations with a nation that excels in development indicators, is characterized by fairness, equity, and enjoys sustainable peace. History emphasizes that achievements are hollow without a foundation of social justice.
The Debate Over the Next Governor
In my capacity as a journalist, politician, and party official, I feel qualified to contribute to the ongoing debate concerning the next governor’s selection. I firmly advocate for Kwara North to lead this election cycle, as broadening the candidate pool to the south and center may be strategically disadvantageous for the ruling party.
The Importance of Loyalty and Representation
Firstly, neglecting regions that have remained steadfastly loyal to the party since 2019 is a misstep. Kwara North has consistently delivered vital votes for the APC. In 2019, 31.8% of Governor Abdulrazaq’s votes came from Kwara North, and this support held firm in the 2023 elections, where 34.3% of the APC’s victories were sourced from this region, despite the main opposition parties fielding candidates from there.
Understanding the Political Landscape
We must recognize that Kwara Central and South have minimal ground to cover in gubernatorial politics moving forward. By 2027, Central Province will have governed the state for 20 years, while Southern Province held the governorship for eight years between 2011 and 2019. In contrast, Kwara North has not yet had its turn.
Concerns regarding the notion that Kwara North is devoid of qualified candidates and a significant voter base are unfounded and dangerous. Such claims risk cementing one segment of the state’s demographic as politically marginalized, stifling the potential for a harmonious society. The Yoruba adage “Ahoje Odun Benikan Oni” serves as a caution against monopolistic politics that breed resentment.
Demographic Realities and Voting Power
While acknowledging that Kwara Central boasts substantial voting power, it is essential to note that this power is not synonymous with the complete demographic makeup of Ilorin. As the capital, Ilorin has attracted diverse populations, which must be factored into any analysis of its political influence. The regions of Ilorin South and West are home to a mix of indigenous and non-indigenous residents, reflecting Nigeria’s broader social dynamics.
Addressing Aspirations and Unity within the Party
Ultimately, the region that is most eager for the governor’s office is Kwara North. Prioritizing candidates from this region aligns with the APC’s best interests, as neglecting this area could lead to significant dissent and potential protest votes. The past may raise questions about candidate preferences, yet it is essential to uphold the primary system established by the party. Assertions that primaries were not conducted serve only to undermine our candidates and the credibility of the party.
I urge party leaders to focus on unity and reconciliation rather than overturning primary results. A collaborative approach is necessary to appease all factions within the party. As I previously stated to our chosen candidate, engagement with diverse voices is crucial moving forward. Maintaining calm in our leadership will be vital to avoid exacerbating divisions. Failure to advocate for fairness and justice today may lead future generations to question our commitment to building a better society. For the sake of equity and long-term stability, Kwara North deserves its opportunity at the Ahmadu Bello House. The present moment presents a valuable chance for our party to reaffirm its strength.
Oloriewe Raheem Adedoyin is a former intelligence chief in Kwara state.
